Investment Firm CIO Expects Bitcoin to Slide to $65K if AI Losses Force Selling

Three Things to Know

• Hilbert's chief investment officer warned that losses in AI stocks could force investors to dump Bitcoin.
• The chart leans the same way, with Bitcoin stuck under both of its major moving averages.
• The 200-day average now decides whether the bearish case gains ground.

Bitcoin faces a fresh bearish call. Hilbert's chief investment officer said a slide toward $65,000 is possible if AI losses spark forced selling.

The warning links crypto to a stretched corner of the stock market. Traders now want to know whether stress in tech stocks will spill over.

Hilbert's CIO Ties Bitcoin's Downside to AI Losses

Hilbert is an investment firm active in digital assets. Its CIO gave no time frame for the call.

His reasoning starts outside crypto. Losses in AI-related holdings could push investors into forced selling, he argued. When popular tech bets turn sour, funds often sell whatever they can unload fast. Bitcoin trades around the clock and is easy to exit, so it can become a source of cash. That makes this a conditional call.

Bitcoin now trades near $75,000. The target sits about 13% below that level. Reaching it would take a fresh leg lower, driven by stress in AI stocks spilling into crypto.

Bitcoin Trades Beneath Both Averages After a Rough Month

Bitcoin (BTC) daily price with the nearest support (green) and resistance (red). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin sits below both moving averages that traders watch most. A moving average smooths out daily swings by tracking the average closing price over a set period. The 50-day average stands near $79,000, a few thousand dollars above the current price.

The 200-day average is closer, around $76,000. Price hovers just beneath it. That longer line often separates a healthy market from a weak one, so slipping under it matters. When both averages sit overhead, they tend to act as ceilings on any bounce.

Bitcoin lost about 10% over the past month in a steady grind lower. The past week added a decline of about 2%.

Price ended the last day flat, a pause in selling. Both sides appear to be waiting for a reason to move.

Sellers Keep the Upper Hand Without Panic

RSI, a 0 to 100 gauge of momentum, sits near 37 on the daily chart. That reading is weak but still above 30, the oversold line. In plain terms, the coin has room to fall before selling looks stretched.

The MACD indicator also points down, and trend gauges show sellers leading. None of this signals panic. It describes a slow, orderly decline.

Little Stands Between Bulls and $63K

The nearest resistance sits right at the 200-day line, so one level now does double duty. A daily close back above it would ease some of the pressure. It would also put the next ceiling, near $80,000, in view.

Support looks thinner. The first floor on the daily chart sits around $63,000, below the CIO's target, with little in between.

Losing that floor would leave Hilbert's warning looking conservative.

Two Roads From Here for Bitcoin

Bitcoin's next move likely depends on how price handles the 200-day line.

• Bullish: A daily close above the 200-day average would open a run toward the next ceiling just over the 50-day line. That would push the AI-selling scenario into the background. The setup fails if price slips back under the 200-day after the breakout.
• Bearish: Another rejection at the 200-day, followed by fresh selling, would put the CIO's target and the support just below it in play. A close above that upper ceiling would cancel this path.

The Forecast Needs a Catalyst the Chart Cannot Supply

The chart leans toward the CIO's view. The full drop, though, depends on AI losses actually forcing funds to sell, and that has not happened yet.

Sudden liquidations or a swift macro shift can still move the coin faster than any chart level suggests.