XRP Price Risks $0.90 Test That Could Delay Rally for Months

TLDR:

• XRP price sits near $1 after losing the $1.086 and $1.091 Fibonacci levels, leaving $0.9855 as the chart’s immediate reversal area.
• A double bottom around $1 would preserve CasiTrades’ bullish wave count, but a fresh low near $0.90 could require another Wave 1 and Wave 2.
• Analyst CasiTrades says a move to $0.90 could delay the next major advance by months, while a break below the October 2025 low near $0.77 would challenge her macro view.
• RSI near 35 is forming higher lows while XRP makes lower lows, a bullish divergence that may signal weakening selling but does not confirm a bottom.

XRP trades near $1, and analyst CasiTrades says a fall toward $0.90 could delay the next rally by months. A double bottom near $1 could preserve the bullish wave count. A fresh low near macro support would require a reset. XRP has already lost two Fibonacci levels.

 The chart places $0.9855 at the next reversal area and $0.8688 below. CasiTrades keeps her longer-term XRP outlook intact unless the breaks the October 2025 low near $0.77. This XRP price warning comes as altcoins lag Bitcoin. CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index stood at 39 out of 100. Glassnode also reported weak US Bitcoin demand.

XRP Price Near $1 Faces a Critical Fibonacci Support Test

The immediate question is whether buyers can defend XRP support around one dollar. CasiTrades identifies $0.9855 as the 1.0 Fibonacci retracement. That level also overlaps with the round-number support traders are watching. A quick rebound there could complete subwave 2 and preserve the current bullish structure. The chart therefore puts the $1 area between a completed correction and another leg lower.

The chart also shows XRP below the 0.854 retracement near $1.086 and 0.786 near $1.091. Those levels had formed a nearby support cluster before price slipped below them. A move back above $1.09 would reclaim that zone and improve the near-term setup. The next resistance levels CasiTrades highlights are approximately $1.13 and $1.25.

The XRP price outlook remains conditional. The XRP price needs follow-through after any bounce from $1; a single reaction would not confirm a durable reversal. RSI sits near 35 and appears to form higher lows as price sets lower lows.

 That divergence can signal fading selling momentum, but it may continue without an immediate price rebound. Traders often wait for price confirmation because RSI alone cannot mark a bottom.

XRP Price at $0.90 Could Reset the Short-Term Wave Count

CasiTrades places macro support near $0.8688, within the broader $0.87 to $0.90 area. If XRP falls there and makes a fresh low, she would recast the short-term wave count. Her scenario requires another smaller Wave 1 and Wave 2 to form before the larger impulsive phase can begin. That process could keep the next major advance months away.

A drop to $0.90 would therefore affect timing more than the long-term thesis. CasiTrades says her bullish macro view remains in place unless XRP breaks below the October 2025 low near $0.77. The two levels serve different purposes: $0.90 is a potential structural reset, while $0.77 is the stated threshold for her broader count. The XRP price prediction should be read as a conditional chart scenario, not a guaranteed target.

The broader market offers little confirmation for an altcoin-led rally. CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index stood at 39. It classifies readings of 25 or below as Bitcoin Season and scores of 75 or higher as Altcoin Season. The current figure sits between those thresholds, showing that altcoins have not reached the platform’s altcoin-season mark.

Meanwhile, Glassnode data shows the Coinbase premium stayed negative throughout Bitcoin’s retreat from its September high. Its 30-day average reached its deepest level since February. The firm said rallies in 2024 and 2025 coincided with positive premiums. Some earlier advances began from discounts this deep. At the time of the post, Bitcoin traded at $71,487, down 3.79%.

For the XRP price, near-term checkpoints remain clear: hold around $0.98 to $1, then reclaim $1.09. Failure to defend one dollar leaves the $0.90 region exposed. A lower low there would force a slower wave setup, even if the longer-term structure survives another decline. The next chart update will turn on price behavior at support and the RSI trendline.